Ace Picks: Week 4

Did anyone else wonder if the Giants putting a beatdown on Houston was an indication of the Giants improving or just the Texans coming back down to earth? We’ll find out on Thursday (at least where the Giants are concerned) as NY goes to Washington to face the red hot Kirk Cousins and that suddenly high flying Washington offense. I don’t know if the Giants defense holds up. Or what about the Dallas / New Orleans showdown? Does Romo come up big? Can the Dallas defense contain a suddenly meek Drew Brees? There are a lot of big questions going into this week, and I’m committed to providing a few of those answers.

Here are my picks for Week 4…

THURSDAY NIGHT

NY Giants @ WASHINGTON – I watched the entire Redskins/Eagles game on Sunday and what I saw was interesting. If the Giants defense plays like it has the first two games of the season and the Redskins offensive line plays as it did on Sunday, then this should be no contest. I think Rashad Jennings was overworked and it shows here. Cousins comes up big again, stirring up the debate about RGIII even more. Redskins take a close one. Pick: WASHINGTON.

SUNDAY GAMES

Green Bay @ CHICAGO – Will the real Jay Cutler please stand up? Please stand up? Please stand up. In their two-game winning streak he has been opportunistic and pretty damn good, finding his receivers in stride (nice game by Bennett on Monday night), and minimizing his mistakes. I think he keeps it going against a reeling Packers team that scored only one touchdown against Detroit last week. This one might not even be close. Pick: CHICAGO.

Tennessee @ INDIANAPOLIS – The Colts are leaning on that running game with Ahmad Bradshaw, and they should. It has paid dividends. And when Luck has to throw the ball he’s finding targets. They finally won their first game of the season on Sunday, but it was against Jacksonville. Does that continue against a slightly better Titans team? I say it does, and Indy evens its record. Pick: INDIANAPOLIS.

MIAMI @ Oakland – Talk about a game that only fans of these two teams actually want to see, this one would qualify. The Dolphins, coming off a disappointing loss to Kansas City, meet Oakland across the pond at Wembley Stadium. The Raiders are winless on the season, but they did make things interesting in New England last weekend. Can Tannehill hang onto his job and take care of business against the Raiders? I think he does, and Lamar Miller has a good day on the ground. Pick: MIAMI.

DETROIT @ NY Jets – Matt Stafford did not look great in that win against Green Bay last week, but the defense stood up and made others take notice. I think they come ready for action again against Geno Smith and the Jets. The key is that even with the offense not quite clicking the Lions won. I think the offense gets going and Calvin Johnson has a huge game as they take a close one in New Jersey. Pick: DETROIT.

Tampa Bay @ PITTSBURGH – What have you done for me lately? Well, Pittsburgh totally dismantled a Carolina team that had looked sharp for two games… and they did it in Carolina, leaning on a running game that was dynamic. Now they’re back home against a winless Tampa team that has looked increasingly worse in its losses. This one won’t be as lopsided as the Atlanta game, but Tampa will stay winless. Pick: PITTSBURGH.

Carolina @ BALTIMORE – Speaking of Carolina, here they are in Baltimore, reeling from a disheartening home loss to Pittsburgh. I said before the season started that the Panthers would take a few steps back from last year, and it’s finally started. It continues here at Baltimore against an opportunistic Ravens defense. Baltimore wins in a game that won’t even be that close. Pick: BALTIMORE.

BUFFALO @ Houston – “They are who they thought we were.” This applies to both the Texans and the Bills, so what happens when these two disappointments meet? One of them is going to go to 3-1, which is what really scares me. The way the Giants ran roughshod over Houston makes me think Spiller and Jackson have a field day. Neither team is playoff bound, but Buffalo will look the part enough to take this one. Pick: BUFFALO.

Jacksonville @ SAN DIEGO – On paper this seems like a total mismatch. But in real life… who am I kidding? This is a total mismatch. The Chargers are rolling, and Eddie Royal is leading the parade, catching more passes than he has over the past two years combined it seems in these last two games. Jacksonville can’t stop anybody. Chargers will keep rolling at home. Pick: SAN DIEGO.

ATLANTA @ Minnesota – The Vikings held up well in New Orleans against the Saints, and I think maybe they show at home against Atlanta too, especially with Teddy Bridgewater starting for them. But he has the right to go through growing pains, and this is his first official NFL start. I think he adjusts by the end of the game but Atlanta still wins it. Pick: ATLANTA.

Philadelphia @ SAN FRANCISCO – It’s hard to go against Philadelphia, a team that has come back against all three teams it has faced in going 3-0 so far. And San Francisco is coming off a two game losing streak where they dropped the ball twice, but this is a Philadelphia defense that gives up yards and points. Can the offense carry them in another comeback? I think San Francisco rights the ship here and wins a high-scoring game against its East Coast opponent. Pick: SAN FRANCISCO.

New Orleans @ DALLAS – Dallas has stepped it up the past two games, looking like a unit that could win more than the six games I predicted before the season began. And New Orleans hasn’t lived up to either reputation or potential. Drew Brees plays worse on the road than at home, and their defense hasn’t stopped pretty much anybody. Dallas takes a close one at home behind another great game from DeMarco Murray. Pick: DALLAS.

MONDAY NIGHT

New England @ KANSAS CITY – The Patriots showed me something last week. They aren’t ready to be the big time team they need to be to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl because their offense is anemic and their defense gives up the big play too often. Against Kansas City that could be devastating because they just found a rhythm on offense. Travis Kelce is for real, and either Jamaal Charles or Knile Davis will carve up that defense. Pick: KANSAS CITY.

The Fantasy Ace

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