Ace Picks: Week 6

Week 6 is ripe for all kinds of blowouts, at least on paper, with the Jets playing the Broncos, the Chargers taking on the Raiders, and Carolina traveling to Cincinnati to take on the Bengals, who are still undefeated at home this season. It also features the Patriots, who have been hit-and-miss this year, the 49ers, who seem to have rediscovered their mojo, and the Seahawks at home against the Cowboys, a stiff test indeed for Dallas.

Here are my picks for Week 6…

THURSDAY NIGHT

Indianapolis @ HOUSTON – The Colts are playing well this season after a tough 0-2 start, but they’re on the road here at a surprising Texans team that’s 3-2, and who have an amazing defense headlined by J.J. Watt, and a dynamic running game with Arian Foster and co. I like the Texans to confuse Andrew Luck and pull out a win at home. Pick: HOUSTON.

SUNDAY GAMES

New England @ BUFFALO – Traditionally the Patriots play the Bills well, even in Buffalo, but the Bills have stepped it up this year in their pass defense, and the Patriots used up a lot of energy, both physical and emotional, in their victory against the Bengals last week. I think the Bills take a tough one against their divisional rival in Buffalo. Pick: BUFFALO.

Carolina @ CINCINNATI -The Bengals are angry after their beatdown in New England, and they’re back home this week to face a Carolina team that barely escaped Chicago last week. That Carolina offensive line looked horrible even in the win last week, and Cincinnati’s defensive line gets after the quarterback. I’d be surprised if Cam Newton makes it through this game. Pick: CINCINNATI.

Pittsburgh @ CLEVELAND – I like Cleveland this year. A lot. They have a good running game, a solid quarterback who is good at leading comebacks, and a chance to avenge their earlier loss to Cleveland in week one. They played a better game than the Steelers then, and I think they do the same now, and Pittsburgh won’t get to pull it out at the last second. The Browns make a divisional statement here behind Brian Hoyer and that running game. Pick: CLEVELAND.

JACKSONVILLE @ Tennessee – Tennessee looked really bad last week in losing one they should have won against Cleveland. And I don’t see any of it changing this week, even at home against a winless team. This is the battle of teams that are looking toward the draft, and I can’t imagine it being on television anywhere, but I think the Jaguars win at least one game this season, and this might just be it, against a punchless Tennessee team that is already reeling. Pick: JACKSONVILLE.

Green Bay @ MIAMI – Is Ryan Tannehill the franchise quarterback in Miami? I honestly don’t care, and I think it’s irrelevant this week facing a Green Bay team that has been inconsistent this season. What matters is if he can put together a good game against a weak defense. He did it in London against Oakland, and the Packers, while better, aren’t outstanding. And I think he can put together a good game if he has time in the pocket, which he will. Mike Wallace will benefit from that, and the running game will get it going. Miami takes a close one at home. Pick: MIAMI.

Detroit @ MINNESOTA – Teddy Bridgewater should be back for this one, and I think that makes a huge difference. It should affect both the running game and passing game. And Calvin Johnson should be out for this one, so the defense can key in on Golden Tate and stopping Joique Bell. I think both things happen and the Vikings pull off the upset over the Lions at home. Pick: MINNESOTA.

DENVER @ NY Jets – The Jets are reeling on both offense and defense coming into this one, and Peyton Manning just got Demaryius Thomas finally going this season, so watch out Jets. It doesn’t matter that the Broncos are on the road, because New Jersey ain’t Seattle, and the Jets ain’t the Seahawks. That’s the only team to beat the Broncos this year, and after Sunday that will still be the case. Pick: DENVER.

BALTIMORE @ Tampa Bay – After building a lead in New Orleans, and then utterly crumbling at the end, the Bucs look to bounce back against Baltimore at home. I just don’t see it happening, though, because Baltimore lost a tough one to Indianapolis last week, and they can’t afford to lose another one right now. It’s back-to-back road games for the Ravens, which will make this one close, but I see Flacco having a huge game as they take out Tampa Bay on the road. Pick: BALTIMORE.

SAN DIEGO @ Oakland – Arguably the hottest team in the NFL right now, no amount of injuries seems to faze the Chargers. Facing a winless Oakland team (even though they’re at home), and having discovered a new talent in Branden Oliver, I think the Chargers run all over the Raiders in this one. Pick: SAN DIEGO.

CHICAGO @ Atlanta  I know. The Falcons are always better at home, but I feel something has to come to a head. Either they’re going to finally win on the road or they will lose one at home. I’m betting on the latter, and I think it happens this week. Chicago tends to rise to these kinds of challenges, and Jay Cutler has been good on the road so far this season. Chicago takes a close one in Atlanta, and the questions about the Falcons get louder. Pick: CHICAGO.

WASHINGTON @ Arizona – Carson Palmer’s shoulder just still isn’t right, but the Cardinals are trying to drag him out there too soon because they know the team needs him in a bad way. Facing a Washington squad that looks good when Kirk Cousins looks good, and that played an inspired game in Seattle on Monday night, I think they’re in trouble if they have to rely on Logan Thomas. With a hobbled Palmer I don’t think their chances are that much better, even at home. I think the Redskins take this one by the skin of their teeth on the road. Pick: WASHINGTON.

Dallas @ SEATTLE – Seattle rarely loses at home, but they looked vulnerable against that high-powered Denver offense in the fourth quarter two weeks ago, and Dallas features a slightly less imposing high-powered offense. But the Cowboys have to take care of the ball against that opportunistic Seahawks defense, and that’s one thing they haven’t been doing so much. I think this is the time when DeMarco Murray’s fumbles come back to destroy them. Pick: SEATTLE.

NY Giants @ PHILADELPHIA – The Eagles are 4-1 this year, but they keep getting second guessed because their defense has been scoring more than their offense, Nick Foles has been making some mistakes he didn’t make last year, and LeSean McCoy has been anything but the number one rusher he was last season. But this is a get-right game for Philadelphia as they routinely play well against the Giants at home, including last season. I like Foles to have a great game and the Eagles defense to confuse Eli Manning and disrupt the timing he needs. Pick: PHILADELPHIA.

MONDAY NIGHT

SAN FRANCISCO @ St. Louis – The 49ers are finally winning the 49er way, with strong running and field goals. St. Louis put up a good fight after falling behind big to the Eagles last week, but the 49ers’ defense is a step up from the one they faced last week, and I think that San Fran takes one on the road to cap a solid week. Pick: SAN FRANCISCO.

The Fantasy Ace

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